Confidence maps
Per-cell confidence from the ConfidenceTool: inter-model agreement, ensemble spread, historical accuracy of the blend and lead-time decay.
Mean confidence
All India domain
High confidence area
≥ 70% confidence
Medium confidence area
40–70%
Low confidence area
< 40%
Forecast confidence
Rainfall · +24 h
Confidence by lead time
Interpretation
High — models agree and the blend has verified well here recently; use the blended value directly.
Medium — moderate disagreement; review the point inspector and member forecasts.
Low — large spread or poor recent skill; communicate uncertainty and prefer probabilistic guidance.
Confidence trend
Rainfall, +24 h, All India domain, last 30 days
No trend data yet